Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.189387 0.227000 0.267333 0.313504 0.364609 0.419171 0.481552
2025-02-23 0.132330 0.181261 0.238023 0.307512 0.389104 0.480767 0.590430
2025-03-02 0.088053 0.139876 0.205213 0.290637 0.396528 0.520878 0.675354
2025-03-09 0.064411 0.118309 0.191749 0.293394 0.425101 0.585204 0.789803
2025-03-16 0.044045 0.095824 0.172699 0.285517 0.438159 0.629814 0.881102
2025-03-23 0.034634 0.087187 0.170876 0.299319 0.478670 0.709059 1.016511
2025-03-30 0.024591 0.074287 0.160262 0.298936 0.499186 0.762567 1.120381
2025-04-06 0.017423 0.064057 0.151773 0.300058 0.520802 0.817245 1.226234
2025-04-13 0.012919 0.057540 0.148136 0.307596 0.551037 0.883504 1.347856
2025-04-20 0.009748 0.052716 0.146505 0.317659 0.584733 0.954729 1.476841
2025-04-27 0.007141 0.047978 0.144093 0.325869 0.615531 1.022265 1.601736
2025-05-04 0.004521 0.041201 0.136300 0.324086 0.630776 1.068137 1.698048
2025-05-11 0.002991 0.037036 0.133353 0.330648 0.659450 1.134245 1.824018
2025-05-18 0.001610 0.031452 0.126032 0.328640 0.674477 1.181179 1.924665
2025-05-25 0.000528 0.024081 0.112365 0.313366 0.667364 1.195742 1.980812
2025-06-01 0.000216 0.021197 0.109283 0.317639 0.691597 1.255939 2.100609
2025-06-08 0.000028 0.016862 0.100731 0.310125 0.695788 1.286452 2.179169
2025-06-15 0.000007 0.016254 0.103236 0.325158 0.738039 1.373992 2.338732
2025-06-22 NaN 0.013716 0.098707 0.325024 0.754364 1.422873 2.444156
2025-06-29 NaN 0.011680 0.095093 0.326366 0.773025 1.475354 2.555095
2025-07-06 NaN 0.010594 0.094604 0.334422 0.803450 1.546004 2.692575
2025-07-13 NaN 0.009870 0.095308 0.345103 0.838630 1.624243 2.841511
2025-07-20 NaN 0.009021 0.095179 0.353800 0.870413 1.697604 2.984053